Mistakes: Poor Entry and Exit

Wow! Just when you think you are getting there, for just a few minutes, you break just a few rules – and boy do you pay for it! This was a terrible trade! My thesis was that DWAC would sell of further after a recent spike. I jumped in (mistake one) with too much size! I was rushing my entrance (mistake two) and overpaid for my PUT options. Again, if I had just waited a few minutes, I could have purchased them for much less. Then, the underlying stock shot up, and because I did not have a stop loss (mistake three), as it blew past opening price, I just watched my losses mount. This state continued for the next day, slowly watching my losses grow – all while justifying why there might be a turn around.

Here are the lessons and rules that will avoid this happening in the future.

  1. Always set an option stop loss, even if it’s wide. Perhaps set on this trade the opening level.
  2. Don’t oversize.
  3. Don’t rush entry.
  4. Don’t project your wishes on the market, rather listen to the market.
  5. Scale in on trades this big.
  6. Know your entry, exit and stop before entry.

Trade info:

Underlying: DWAC
Thesis: Sell off this week
Trade: DWAC 14 Jan 2022 52.00 PUT

You can see how the underlying moved against me here…

Day 2 Update:

So this trade went from bad to worse, as you can see the FED spoke, the market recovered, and DWAC got some major tail winds. These options will expire worthless, but I’m down so much I might as well hold and see if there is any turn around. Not holding my breath.

As I watch my PUT options values move toward zero, I’m reminded of other mistakes I made. Perhaps what I need to do below is write down what this trade should have looked like, and we also need to come up with hard and fast SOLUTIONS. Not just ideas of what not to do, but CONCRETE ACTIONS. So before I trade again, I’ll be creating a paper checklist of read before entering a trade, but also writing below what this trade should have looked like. For example, I should have had a BULL thesis as well as my BEAR thesis.

What this trade should have looked like

  1. More patience and a better entry.
  2. Don’t project a BEAR thesis, rather watch the charts and be ready for BULL thesis.
  3. Size down until you have consistency and are a CPT (consistently profitable trader)
  4. Size in, start small then size in when thesis looks correct.
  5. Spend more time reading the wider time frames – perhaps the BULL thesis was obvious.
  6. Be ready to adapt; when the trade turned against me, I should have traded thesis.
  7. ALWAYS SET A STOP. This is the biggest mistake. I thought I could have a mental stop, but the draw down was too slow to see (plus i’m busy at my day job), so I should always have an auto stop. DO NOT TRADE OPTIONS AGAIN WITHOUT A TOP, even if it is wide. Minimum should be 50% of my entry lot.
  8. Make sure you know if the stock is a @wallstreetbets reddit stock – these can be unpredictable. DWAC was certain one!
  9. Make sure you look at the spread between bid and ask, and wait for it to be reasonable! Don’t buy options without looking at the spread. I noticed the spread was much closer, AFTER I rushed into purchasing my PUTS..

Quick side note….there was no news or reason for the rise! Again, most likely pointing to Reddit crowd or feverish tRump fans. Notice the note below “There was no obvious reason for the move”.

There is a famous saying “the market can stay irrational, longer than you scan stay solvent”. This is certainly true with this stock. Don’t bet against fanatic tRump supporters or Reddit users! More articles coming out today saying this rise is not justified. Perhaps it will crash again soon, but I’m just way too early again! I need to watch PRICE ACTION, not news!!! That is the lesson!

Mistake: Bull in a Bear market

Today I was trading USO, but didn’t see the markets turn negative. You can see from chart below that the USO tracks the wider market closely. See the comparison lines!

Lesson is to always have DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ on screen to look for a turn in market. There were clear sell signals. I should have sold my USO Calls when I saw the market turn from Bull to Bear! Don’t own CALLS in a Bear market! Nevertheless, I still made 40% on the trade, as the market recovered the next day (in at $0.5800, out at $0.8400 = 44.82%0. Let us review what happened.

I need to have a calendar of FOMC meetings and releases to avoid this in the future. Look at the screenshot below, how the market turned when the FOMC minutes (negative catalyst) were released!

Also, I was too long in the market. The longer I stay in the market, the longer you have to get hurt! I need to be more in and out. USO was trading in d sideways for a while – I should have just exited.

The sell off was sudden and harsh…

Luckily, overnight (I held overnight) there was a recovery in USO, and I was able to sell for over 40% profit. Perhaps I should give myself more credit – I bought a stock that was clearly in a weekly/daily uptrend, that also had positive new catalysts. Perhaps I was not so lucky, just a little bit early.

Notice the daily uptrend.

Mistake: Lack of patience on entry

Don’t rush your entries

Today I wanted to share a recent options trade I made, that while successful, could have generated much more profits if I was more patient on my entry, and paid less for the put options. Let me explain…

The catalyst of the this short trade was a failed FDA approval. I predicted a lot of selling pressure. I bought a PUT option (strike 30) for about 8 days out expiry. However, I was so excited to make the trade, that I bought the options at the worst possible time. I rushed the entry, and overpaid by about 2$ per option! Because of this, despite being correct on my thesis and watching the underlying stock decline in price, I was mostly in the red for this trade. Truth be told, I was very happy with how I exited the trade – I waited at watched all the correct indicators to signal a good opportunity to sell.

If I had waited for 30m, my price would have been significantly better, and I would have got confirmation!

However, despite selling at the best possible time, I only made a small profit – whereas, if I had bought the options at any other time during the 1.5 days I held them, I would have made hundreds of dollars more! So the lesson (again, unfortunately!) is the be more patience with my entries!

Mistake: Lack of patience with entry.

Trade: Short via put options []

Ticker: RETA (DEC17 21 30 PUT)

Entry: $2.750

Exit: $3.100

Mistake: Not reading emotions

Today was a mess. I didn’t read my emotions correctly, and ended up making multiple mistakes which cost me dearly. Let me explain…

My trade started with a pre-market purchase of EFOI.

Great pre mkt entry, bad target price exit, terrible revenge re-entry.

So I bought in at $3.48 pre market and was happy with the entry as price action soon went above ~$3.70 and stayed above there for a while when the market opened. Then, I added to that position immediately saw a green 1m candle and I rather too quickly closed out my position for a small gain.

Because of my small position size (note: I’ve been trading smaller position size recently which has been going well and allows me to manage my trades with less emotion), I only made a small gain (regret and greed kicked it).

I also sold too early, due to a lack of Fib planning. So I began to build my first mistake which was fear of missing out (FOMO kicking in as additional green candles filled).

Because I was annoyed that I had sold too early I had not done my Fibonacci is correctly (note: I use Questrade and Fib extension tool does not work well inside of Questrade), I irrationally flipped to another stock LEXX on my watchlist and immediately enter the trade without any research just a few seconds of price action monitoring in level two.

This was a rash mistake which of course did not work out. After a few minutes of watching the stock consolidate I exited through small loss.

At this point I was obviously emotionally charged so when I went back to my original chart of EFOI, with revenge trading plus fear of missing out and a very heightened emotion state – I then proceeded with re-entry even though I knew price action was over extended an overbought. To make up for my losses, on the new trade I entered with a large size.

After consolidating sideways for a few minutes I knew that it was going to drop in price because it had a few failed tops but with a manual stop I waited a little bit too long and exited the trade eventually for a larger loss.

This loss wiped out my daily gains and some.

And so today’s lessons are about poor trading FOMO, revenge trading, two large position size, lack of planning and preparation, impulse trading.

There’s nothing much else to be said other than I let myself down today with very poor emotional trading where I made a number of mistakes in quick succession and of course the result was a loss for the day so this will be a blog post that I remember for a while I think this is the worst trading I’ve done in about 14 days and so I really want to remember this.

Mistakes:

  1. Lack of Fib extension, target price planning on 1st trade.
  2. FOMO as I left money on the table on 1st trade.
  3. Greed on 1st trade.
  4. Lack of planning on 2nd trade.
  5. Revenge trading on 2nd trade.
  6. Revenge trading on 3rd trade.
  7. Over trading on 2nd and 3rd trade.
  8. Too big position size on 3rd trade

USO Options Call Trade [Dec 7th 2021]

Hello everybody my name is Julian with TraderMedic.com and today I just wanted to go over a nice long trade i made this morning on u.s oil this ticker symbol USO.

I made a nice 20.8 percent gain in just a few minutes and so I just wanted to go over how the trade came about how i managed the trade how I exited the trade and any lessons learned.

So as you can see the chart on the screen December 7th showing one minute chart – I entered at about two minutes in when i saw a lot of buying volume and i pretty much followed the one minute chart the whole way there was a little point there where it dipped a little bitand luckily did not trigger my mental stop which was the bottom of that second long green candle and then you can see it rallied up to almost 52 dollars just a little shy of that and as you can see in the yellow at the top of the screen, I had a December 10th $51.5 dollar calls, and so we were sitting above that and so I was really happy uh with the trade – I generally just trade the first hour maybe hour and a half of each day because i have commitments at 900 a.m currently, so I was happy to get out of the trade, however it did rally a little bit higher during the day but i was off working on other things so that was the kind of trade.

Also, I thought I would also just show the five minute chart here.

So let me just bring that up so you can see on the five minute chart. There was that extra that extra run it had, so i guess if i was able to trade a little past nine PST then i might have exited (although again it didn’t hit my stop yet) so probably it would have been good just to sit in there a little bit but if i had exited or maybe i would just add to my position as it breaks that kind of what is it $52mark – that would have been a nice little bit of extra trading that i could have one there.

So i think i made kind of half the move basically which again i think is okay for somebody who trades first hour first hour and a half but ideally i would have made that extra part too, so maybe that’s the lesson learned from today but overall i was happy with the trade.

Also, the market was pretty green today as it was rebounding from perhaps overblown Omicron virus fears – so this was kind of the second green day for the market in a row, so i was confident to have that behind me as well that most of the market was green today and oil was already up in the pre-market a couple percent.

So yeah happy with this trade USO, and i’ve done well on this ticker before i’ll keep this in my watchlist for sure!