Stick to your trading plan.

Greetings, fellow traders and investors. Today, I want to share a candid account of a recent trading mishap that serves as a valuable reminder of the importance of adhering to one’s trading rules and principles. Even seasoned traders can find themselves straying from their well-established strategies, and it is imperative to reflect upon such experiences as opportunities for growth and self-improvement. In this blog post, I will recount the specific errors I made during this trade and outline the lessons I plan to draw from them.

In the realm of trading, discipline is paramount. On this particular day, I had meticulously formulated a trading plan that centered around a potential long trade in AMD. However, the market had other ideas, and AMD promptly gapped down at the opening bell. At this juncture, I faltered. Instead of steadfastly adhering to my premeditated plan, I allowed impulsiveness to creep in. I noticed AAPL, a stock not on my radar, exhibiting a gap-up, and I abandoned my original strategy. This deviation from my trading plan was a glaring lapse in judgment and, in hindsight, a critical mistake.

To compound matters, the emotional departure from my trading plan led me to commit a second cardinal error—over-sizing my position. With an irrational sense of urgency, I invested a significantly larger capital allocation than was appropriate for the trade’s risk profile. The consequences of such imprudent sizing can be disastrous, and it is a lesson I had previously internalized but regrettably ignored in the heat of the moment.

As the trade unfolded, my string of misjudgments persisted. I failed to implement a sufficiently tight stop loss, a decision that ultimately proved costly. Instead of limiting my loss to a sensible range of 15% to 20%, I watched as my position eroded, resulting in a disheartening 50% loss of my risk capital. This blunder underscored the critical role of stop losses in preserving one’s trading capital and managing risk.

In the wake of this disheartening experience, I am determined to extract meaningful lessons and emerge from it as a more resilient and disciplined trader. To that end, I have devised a plan for my trading future.

Firstly, I reiterate the cardinal principle of trading—stick to the plan. I will maintain unwavering discipline in adhering to my carefully formulated strategies, irrespective of enticing market gyrations.

Secondly, I pledge to maintain appropriate position sizing. The recklessness of over-sizing can spell doom for even the most seasoned trader, and I intend to exercise prudent judgment in this regard moving forward.

Lastly, I have resolved to set stop losses at or below a prudent threshold of 20%. By enforcing this discipline, I will be better equipped to mitigate losses and protect my trading capital.

In conclusion, this trading misstep serves as a stark reminder of the significance of adherence to trading rules and strategies. Mistakes are part and parcel of the trading journey, but the true measure of a trader lies in their ability to learn from them and emerge stronger. Remember, fellow traders, the key takeaways are to trade your plan, exercise patience, size your positions judiciously, and establish stop losses at or below 20%. Let us grow and prosper in our trading endeavors by applying these principles diligently.

2023 – A Year In Review

Let’s be clear. This last year was not a good year from a P/L point of view, but an excellent year from a learning point of view. While I initially believed I could become a consistent, profitable trader in 3 years, I have reset my goal timeline to 4 years. Some might think this is a long time, but you need to understand that I have many other time commitments and can only trade part-time, basically the 1st hour of market open – so it’s going to take longer to become successful than someone who can trade full time.


If I was to quickly summarize why my P/L does not look good this year it’s because:

  1. Not enough action items from last years lessons.
  2. Too many non-trading distractions.

To address #2, I simply had too many distractions last year. Not only do I have a full time job (I am an IT freelance consultant), but I also have two (yes two) e-commerce companies, a coworking company, a family and a dog! This was a big distraction. One of the e-commerce companies was taking up a particularly large amount of time, so as trading is my passion, I sold it for profit last year! Although I probably still have too many distractions, the selling of this business has freed up my time significantly. I also intend to be more time efficient this year – I have given up weekly TV shows, and now exercise on my lunch break (everyday, less Fridays!).

To address #1, I made a great list of things I did wrong last year but I did not create actionable steps to address these issues. The list was:

PROBLEM STATEMENTS

(1) risk management – use automatic stop losses (max loss 20% per trade or less),

(2) have more patience – wait for trend, don’t jump into low confidence trades – even if they turn out to be winners,

(3) focus on position sizing – on A trades go large, on other trades stay small. Learn to scale into winning trades!

(4) focus on capital preservation – keep account risk small. preserve capital at all costs. (5) have more discipline!

And so despite my best intentions, I did not manage to achieve these goals. This year however, I will create a list of actionable steps to address these issues, and I am confident that I will tackle these head-on. Let’s start now.

ACTIONABLE STEPS

(1) Risk management

Rule1.1 – Never let a trade exceed 20% loss. Aim for 15% stops.

Rule1.2 – Make sure your entries are patient, so that stop loss is below strong support line (long) or above strong resistance line (short).

Rule 1.3 – Daily loss limit 2% of account.

(2) Have more patience

Rule 2.1 – ENTRY: Wait for bottoming, topping, or trend patterns to emerge. Only trade A+ setups with high confidence.

Rule 2.2 – MGMT: Only exit trades when there is a clear signal to do so. Large profit P/L is not a signal. Must let winners run.

(3) Focus on position sizing

Rule 3.1 – Determine criteria for identifying A+ setups. Do the higher time frames align with your shorter time frame trade? Is the macro market and sector in alignment? What gives you extra confidence in this trade?

Rule 3.2 – Start trades with small contract/stock number. Then, scale into high confidence trades. Utilize pull backs to re-load. Scale in and scale out of trades!

(4) Focus on capital preservation

Rule 4.1 – Nothing is more important than capital preservation.

(5) Have more discipline

Rule 5 – Define what having more discipline looks like, and keep a log of your efforts. Must keep trading journal with discipline rating!

+++

The above list is a start at least, so it’s clearly not good enough to have high level goals, but we must have a tactical list of rules to follow. Furthermore, this year I need to develop a written trading plan and strategy. I struggled to do this before, as I wasn’t sure what trader I was going to be – but now it’s clear. I am a part-time, directional, options trade that trades NASDAQ large cap options. This will be my focus next year. I find that when I trade low float stocks, I don’t do well, as there is not enough data and it also distracts me from my primary options trading goal.

(6) Stick to one strategy

Rule 6.1 – you are a directional options trade, not a short float trader. Stick to your strategy.

I will add to the thoughts above later, but here is the data from my last year trading….again, I include the last few years for comparison:

2023

2023

2022

2021

So in summary, I still have a lot to learn as my P/L really sucked last year. However, I also noticed that if I removed my worse 10 trades (out of over 200 hundred!), I would have been profitable – so what does that tell me? I need better risk management, patience and discpline!

Total loss from top 10 trades: $5965.59

Total loss last year NET: 5,579.81


Despite this upsetting lost, this idea is hopeful. Ditch the worst trades, and you’ll be profitable this year. I truly see that only being able to trade the 1st hour is like “altitude training” – it’s much more difficult than if I could trade longer each day. So I need extra discipline, extra patience, and extra consistency.

I’ll be writing more soon on the following topics…

  1. My new trading setup – I’ve moved away from Questrade and into IKBR (with Das Trader)
  2. I’m learning how to trade futures, with the goal of one day being a remote prop trader. I aim to start taking prop firm challenges to see how I compare, and what I can learn from the process.
  3. I’m learning how to use hot keys for faster entry (Das Trader)
  4. I’m tutoring other beginner traders and creating online videos that act both as my own learnings but also as tools for others.

Anyway, until next time…happy trading!

  • The Trader Medic

2022 – A Year In Review

One of the hardest things in trading, is reviewing your mistakes and admitting your faults. 2022 was my second full year trading. Overall, I made a lost, albeit much smaller than my first year (2021). Still, there were months where I was up a lot, only to loose it all the next month. Overall, I think I lacked a solid risk management plan. I must avoid large losses this year by using automatic stop losses all the time. Overall, my gross revenue was positive – which means I am also over trading (too much commissions!). As I was still in learning phase last year, I’m not too worried about over trading – but this year that ends! I had a three year plan to become a profitable day trader – so 2023 must be a good year for me! These are the main areas of focus for me!

(1) risk management – use automatic stop losses (max loss 20% per trade or less),

(2) have more patience – wait for trend, don’t jump into low confidence trades – even if they turn out to be winners,

(3) focus on position sizing – on A trades go large, on other trades stay small. Learn to scale into winning trades!

(4) focus on capital preservation – keep account risk small. preserve capital at all costs. (5) have more discipline!

The above ideas are hunches, but lets look at the data!

Below I compare my first two years!

2021

2022

If you are an experienced trader, let me know in the comments what you think! Thanks.

LOSS: Lack of trade management

Today was a small but tough loss. Why? Because I made a mistake, and missed out on some serious gains. I did many many things right, but one mistake took away all my potential gains and also left me with a loss. Recently, I’ve been making some great trades (which I have not had time to document), but this loss really stung – so I wanted to find time to make this post. Here’s what happened…

Entry: $2.000
Exit: $1.450

Management: Poor

Lesson: Don’t sell so quick if there is not signal? Didn’t hit high of day? 15m chart was looking fine? Option expiry was very far out? Market was turning down? Sold too soon!

Unfortunately sold on the first peak.
Unfortunately sold on the first peak, in hindsight I should have given it a looser stop as it didn’t go above the previous high of day! Excellent stock picking, excellent entry, but poor trade management caused my loss today.

WIN: 41.93% gain on Disney PUTS

Today was a great day, because I followed my risk management strategy and made some serious gains.

Thesis: Sympathy play with NFLX (which had just tanked due to poor subs growth)

Underlying Stock: DIS
Vehicle: PUTS
Thesis: Sympathy play with NFLX (which had just tanked due to poor subs growth)

BTO: JAN28 22 140 PUT @ $3.100

STC: JAN28 22 140 PUT @ $4.400
Gain: 41.93%

Nice to see Yahoo Finance comment on the stock that I traded…

It certainly was a “sympathy” thesis I played 🙂

Update:

So for the next two days, I played a similar strategy. I had some continued success.

Day 2: Info coming soon!

Day 3: I made a loss initially, and learnt some lessons. However, I exited at the right stop loss (albeit manual) and re-entered for a green day. I did sell too early however! And as I said, a couple lessons.

Lesson 1: Patience – I entered too early and should have waited for price action signal at 10m
Lesson 2: Patience, as I sold too early. The MACD on the underlying stock was showing massive selling, but I was just so happy to be green again, I sold. Bad.

Trade: DIS JAN28 22 133 PUT